Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.067042 0.075541 0.084214 0.093694 0.103737 0.114032 0.125355
2025-08-24 0.050937 0.063110 0.076140 0.090987 0.107311 0.124596 0.144173
2025-08-31 0.040237 0.054362 0.070129 0.088718 0.109752 0.132565 0.158943
2025-09-07 0.034151 0.049773 0.067842 0.089735 0.115058 0.143013 0.175818
2025-09-14 0.029814 0.046609 0.066661 0.091531 0.120825 0.153624 0.192560
2025-09-21 0.027211 0.045202 0.067268 0.095157 0.128478 0.166194 0.211360
2025-09-28 0.023910 0.042513 0.066008 0.096297 0.133017 0.175034 0.225784
2025-10-05 0.023810 0.043993 0.069899 0.103654 0.144890 0.192340 0.249904
2025-10-12 0.020371 0.040561 0.067285 0.102794 0.146776 0.197894 0.260389
2025-10-19 0.018354 0.038920 0.066837 0.104509 0.151667 0.206894 0.274804
2025-10-26 0.016133 0.036744 0.065513 0.104981 0.154941 0.213906 0.286840
2025-11-02 0.014565 0.035395 0.065193 0.106651 0.159621 0.222542 0.300744
2025-11-09 0.012611 0.033342 0.063929 0.107224 0.163157 0.230103 0.313772
2025-11-16 0.009891 0.029655 0.060136 0.104305 0.162216 0.232217 0.320340
2025-11-23 0.007688 0.026480 0.056836 0.101857 0.161726 0.234773 0.327349
2025-11-30 0.006584 0.025168 0.056198 0.102954 0.165720 0.242770 0.340844
2025-12-07 0.005783 0.024324 0.056204 0.104892 0.170768 0.252044 0.355868
2025-12-14 0.005440 0.024401 0.057624 0.108799 0.178380 0.264495 0.374743
2025-12-21 0.004652 0.023350 0.057181 0.110027 0.182453 0.272538 0.388273
2025-12-28 0.005071 0.025164 0.061405 0.117937 0.195358 0.291609 0.415223
2026-01-04 0.004018 0.023275 0.059500 0.117014 0.196558 0.296057 0.424388
2026-01-11 0.003500 0.022598 0.059539 0.118855 0.201399 0.305044 0.439075
2026-01-18 0.002866 0.021442 0.058696 0.119362 0.204429 0.311738 0.450949